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Job Openings

Weak turnover in July confirms stagnating labor market

Paige McGlauflin

September 3, 2026

Job Openings

Weak turnover in July confirms stagnating labor market

Paige McGlauflin

September 3, 2026

Photo by Brusk Dede on Unsplash

The dog days of summer hit the job market hard in July.

While job openings, signaling employers’ intent to hire, picked up in July, actual hires fell last month, according to the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, as employers have pulled back on hiring amid economic uncertainty. At the same time, both quits and layoffs and discharges declined in July. For workers, the labor market’s current “low-hire, low-fire” conditions signal that it might be better to stay put.

“These measures [hirings and quits] indicate movement, and often the movement that spells higher wages and better professional satisfaction. Both have been lackluster for some time, however, as employers aren’t bringing on many new workers, so workers have few options for upgrading their career,” Elizabeth Renter, senior director of economic insights at Life360, wrote on LinkedIn.

Diving into the data. Employers reported 7.3 million job openings at the end of July, a slight increase from June, the number for which was downwardly revised by 177,000 to 7.2 million.

Durable goods manufacturing reported the strongest increase in postings, up by 76,000 between June and July, followed by state and local government (up 65,000), and healthcare and social assistance (up 54,000). Meanwhile, transportation, warehousing, and utilities reported the steepest decline in job postings, down 67,000, followed by professional and business services (down 65,000) and leisure and hospitality (down 42,000).

Hires, meanwhile, fell to 5.1 million in July, down from 5.3 million in June. The hires rate declined to 3.2%, its lowest since February 2026 and April 2020 (the latter marking the end of the Covid-19 recession) when the hires rate was 3.1%. A hiring rate this low is atypical, economists said, because it’s usually associated with an unemployment rate as high as 9%. The unemployment rate for July was 4.1%, according to last month’s jobs report.

“This goes to show how unusual the sluggish hiring environment we’re in is, especially for a job market that is relatively stable (or stale, depending on your point of view),” Daniel Zhao, Glassdoor’s chief economist, wrote on LinkedIn.

Professional and business services reported the steepest decline in hires between June and July, down by 188,000, followed by finance and insurance (declining 37,000) and transportation, warehousing, and utilities (down 32,000).

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Read full article here

Economic uncertainty has employers pulling back on hiring, while fewer opportunities and layoffs give workers reason to stay put.
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