January 9, 2026
January 9, 2026
Photo by Vitaly Gariev on Unsplash
The U.S. labor market concluded 2025 with what appears to be modest job growth. And yet the jobs report released Friday does little to quiet growing questions about whether the economy is stabilizing, stuck in a prolonged “no-hire, no-fire” limbo — or outright weakening.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, employers added 50,000 jobs in December, below economists’ expectations. The unemployment rate edged down even as broader measures of labor slack continued to worsen compared to 2024. And November’s jobs numbers were revised down to show weaker job growth than expected.
On the surface, the headline numbers suggest an economy still adding jobs, albeit at a sluggish pace. But dig deeper, and the worrying signs begin to pile up.
One of the most striking developments in the report was a sharp 25,000 decline in retail employment, an unusual contraction even accounting for the way the BLS numbers smooth out seasonal effects. Losing retail jobs suggests a quiet but deeper pullback — either because planned hiring never fully materialized, or because companies are actively cutting costs regardless of consumer spending.
The weakness in retail adds to evidence that companies may be acting cautiously and defensively, prioritizing margin protection and operational efficiency over growth. It also raises concerns about demand expectations heading into 2026, especially as households continue to feel the strain of high prices and elevated borrowing costs.
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